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The Mobile Web Future: It's Complicated

Posted In: Browsers | Wireless Networks | Shows & Conferences | FirstNews


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SAN FRANCISCO—The mobile phone browser already is a central part of the mobile application world but is going to become an even bigger element in the future, speakers at the Mobile Web & Apps World Forum said Tuesday.

The forum, which is in its fourth year, was a prelude to the CTIA Enterprise & Applications show at the Moscone Center West. It featured browser and software companies, developers, analysts and manufacturers.

Although the mobile phone operating system continues to be fragmented and is becoming more fragmented with the iPhone and Android, several speakers said the mobile phone experience can become more unified through the browser and Internet protocols like hypertext markup language (HTML). The latter is the de facto technology for Web content.

Jon von Tetzchner, a co-founder and CEO of Norway-based browser company Opera, said the Web is the common platform that all phone operating systems and browsers can use. He said technologies like WAP and dot-mobi were destined to fail because they forced a different user experience. Most people want to have the same access to Web content on their phone as they have on a computer, even though it may be rendered differently, he said.

Von Tetzchner told the developers that most of the applications they write are going to have to be Web-based using Widgets. And Web apps, he said, doesn't mean they will be in the cloud but will use the browser to run.

"Widgets are single-purpose access points to Web content and services," he said. "Consumers get instant access to what they want."

Benoit Shillings, chief technology officer with the mobile software company Myriad Group, said it is clear the mobile browser will be the center of the battle over the future of mobile computing. But, he said, although browsers access HTML-based content, they should be viewed as tools for Web navigation.

Shillings predicted a future where there will be a hybrid mobile solution combining the frameworks of both the Web and the mobile browser. The mobile phone future will combine features of social networking, location, data synchronization, search, security and semantic data such as user behavior.

Matt Womer, the ubiquitous Web activity lead for the World Wide Web Consortium (W3C), explained that although the next iteration of HTML, called HTML5, may not become a standard for another decade, some of its tools can be developed now. HTML5 has a richer user interface and enables features like embedded video and graphics, he said. It also has an offline mode so users might keep their email on their phone even though they don't have access to the Web.

Womer said there has been a lot of attention paid to HTML5 and its potential for geo-location, but that is only one potential future use.

Whatever the future holds for mobile Web and applications, analyst Chetan Sharma said there are two certainties – the ecosystem will become more complex and mobile data use will continue to climb.

"It is very hard to predict what the market will look like in the coming months," he said. "Apple's iPhone and Android didn't even exist a few years ago and now auto manufacturers are becoming more active."

Sharma said there is a definite trend toward more app stores for phones and other devices, driven by the growth of 3G networks and the use of smartphones. But he said more and more of the apps are going to be off-deck, putting the carriers out of the data revenue picture unless they enable their own ecosystems.


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2 Comments

  • Vance fails to address the criticism of dotMobi, which is, among other things, that creating separate sites for mobiles and desktops is a huge waste, and the customers have already rejected it. WAP tried the same thing, and it, too was a failure.
    To read a detailed criticisms of dotMobi's nonsense, read this discussion.
    http://my.opera.com/chooseopera/blog/show.dml/18812372#comment43163082
    Vance has failed to address, for example, this question:
    "What if you're using another device? Should we have .gameconsole? .car? .fridge? .plane?"
    JvT explains how dotMobi is a failure and a massive waste of time here:
    http://dvice.com/archives/2006/11/opera-ceo-says-dotmobi-is-a-to.php
    Opera happens to be the biggest mobile browser, with 25% market share. Every month they publish a report on popular domains visited from their browser. dotMobi domains are being decimated by normal sites.
    The customer has spoken: He does not want mobile walled gardens. He wants the full web.
    And .mobi being one of the longest top level domains - how hilarious is that? It is a clear example of how extremely poorly the dotMobi guys thought this through before they started peddling their useless top level domain to people.

  • More than four years later, and Opera still doesn't seem to "get" the .mobi domain or the work of the dotMobi company, and that it is highly complementary to the work that Opera does. Jon von Tetzchner's statement that "Most people want to have the same access to Web content on their phone as they have on a computer ..." is contrary to research that dotMobi has done. But since that is what Opera does as a business, it's evident that von Tetzchner has to take such a stance.

    In fact, the past year has been a strong one for .mobi and the mobile Web. Among the reasons for that are:

    The overall growth of the mobile Web. Earlier this year, mobile analytics firm Bango reported a 600% growth in traffic to mobile websites, based on a study of 50 million phone users worldwide. Despite what you may hear about “apps,” according to Bango CEO Ray Anderson, “The single most important app on any mobile device is the browser” to visit mobile websites. And despite what you may think from the many Apple ads you likely see, the best selling phone manufacturers globally are Nokia, Blackberry and then Apple, proving again that mobile websites are the most valuable and efficient way for businesses to reach customers via the mobile Web. (See how .mobi and Opera are ultimately making the same point?)

    The overall growth of the .mobi domain. We’re closing in on one million .mobi domains registered with that number continuing to grow. We’re now at our highest-ever number in the name base and we’re poised to be only the sixth gTLD to reach one million domains under management. Further, many brands are now riding on the .mobi bandwagon, including AT&T, Blackberry, Five Guys restaurants, JCPenney, Simon and Schuster, even the city of London with its special mylomo.mobi initiative.

    The launch of goMobi. A unique mobile website builder and content management tool, goMobi from dotMobi is quickly becoming a favorite choice among SMBs, as well as Web developers

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